Tool

Volatility timeline

Large moves with a documented public record. Each entry carries three things only: what was verifiable at the time, where the attributions disagree, and which layer of our framework it most likely belongs to. No percentage figures to extrapolate from, and no inference from the past to the future.

entries. The layer assignment is our reading, not an authoritative verdict — most of these events were several layers stacked.

What gets included

Only events with a primary public record: official announcements, regulatory or court filings, public trading and on-chain records.
Only events far enough in the past that the discussion has settled. Recent events are excluded until the disagreement has had time to develop — because presenting that disagreement is the whole point of this page, not being first with an explanation.
No prices and no precise percentage moves. Figures differ between venues and time zones, and printing them makes extrapolation nearly inevitable. For exact data, check an exchange's own historical records.
The attribution column must show the disagreement, not a single conclusion. If everyone agreed about an event, it usually wouldn't be worth including.

How to use this page

Treat it as a library of shapes. Once you've seen what “macro moving together”, “crypto alone on a platform failure” and “a leverage wick” each look like, step one on the next unexplained move goes much faster. The reading order is in the four layers.

About this page

Last updated August 2026. This is an evergreen page and grows as events settle; the date above changes with each update. Every fact listed is publicly verifiable; the “where attributions disagree” column summarises differing interpretations in public discussion and does not indicate that this site endorses any of them.

This page does not predict direction, publish targets or advise on timing, and draws no inference from past events to future ones. Educational use only; not investment, tax or legal advice.